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Saturday, 23 April 2022

[New post] Weekend Thoughts 4/23/2022

Site logo image marshgerda posted: " I added everything up, with a week to go in April I am still up 6.3% for the year (down 3.5% for April). But my IRA has been decimated as it was where I tended to put my riskier investments (that being said, my IRA even at start of the year was only ab"

Weekend Thoughts 4/23/2022

marshgerda

Apr 23

I added everything up, with a week to go in April I am still up 6.3% for the year (down 3.5% for April). But my IRA has been decimated as it was where I tended to put my riskier investments (that being said, my IRA even at start of the year was only about 7% of my entire portfolio). It is down a bit more than 30% this year!

So I am fortunate in aggregate to still be up 6.3%. I show QQQ down 17% for the year and SPY down 7.8%.

My guru for overall outlook is Ed Yardeni. His best estimate is we end the year with SPY at 4,000. So we still have more than a 6% drop to go (and he wasn't saying 4,000 is the low for 2022, just the end).

My hypothetical "unprofitable tech" portfolio is down 31% for the year (sadly, pretty parallel with my IRA). So that is the stuff that has gotten crushed. But also GDLC (a bitcoin-related fund) is down 33% for the year. GARIX, a magic formula investing mutual fund is down 4.9%.

IWD (Russell Value) is down 3.6% and IWF (Russell Growth) is down 17%. Of course XLE (energy Spyder fund) is up 37%.

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